0x64a2137b3b8f151d741bc4dc649cba5bcf96a495
0x64a2137b3b8f151d741bc4dc649cba5bcf96a495
- Realised P&L
- $-5.7k
- Volume
- $168.4k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $4.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.799 | 0.961 | $4.3k | +$722.64 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.894 | 0.982 | $141.86 | +$12.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-16.46at 0.110Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- +$-51.06at 0.123Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?
- +$-61.19at 0.174Will Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?
- +$-61.28at 0.123Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-09?
- +$-126.58at 0.051Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 16:04 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.1831486648 | $397.97 |
| 09-06 16:03 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.961 | $416.69 |
| 09-06 16:03 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 21:36 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3349999989 | $170.68 |
| 07-07 03:27 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3299999991 | $181.70 |
| 07-06 04:28 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0489999996 | $122.48 |
| 06-21 11:03 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.022 | $500.08 |
| 05-16 06:03 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18? | BUY | 0.119999998 | $49.75 |
| 05-09 10:10 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-09? | BUY | 0.12 | $59.70 |
| 05-09 10:10 | Will Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1699999979 | $59.70 |
| 05-03 18:09 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03? | BUY | 0.4099999998 | $392.98 |
| 04-30 17:26 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.879022505 | $1.6k |
| 04-25 05:30 | Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-25? | BUY | 0.2099999995 | $319.53 |
| 04-25 05:25 | OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? | SELL | 0.2069789922 | $338.53 |
| 04-18 16:44 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18? | BUY | 0.3799999997 | $647.38 |