PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x64a2137b3b8f151d741bc4dc649cba5bcf96a495

0x64a2137b3b8f151d741bc4dc649cba5bcf96a495

Realised P&L
$-5.7k
Volume
$168.4k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$4.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7990.961$4.3k+$722.64
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8940.982$141.86+$12.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 16:04Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06?BUY0.1831486648$397.97
09-06 16:03Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.961$416.69
09-06 16:03Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
07-11 21:36Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3349999989$170.68
07-07 03:27Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3299999991$181.70
07-06 04:28Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0489999996$122.48
06-21 11:03Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.022$500.08
05-16 06:03Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?BUY0.119999998$49.75
05-09 10:10Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-09?BUY0.12$59.70
05-09 10:10Will Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?BUY0.1699999979$59.70
05-03 18:09Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?BUY0.4099999998$392.98
04-30 17:26Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.879022505$1.6k
04-25 05:30Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-25?BUY0.2099999995$319.53
04-25 05:25OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?SELL0.2069789922$338.53
04-18 16:44Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?BUY0.3799999997$647.38