PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Mr.Polaki

0x6435933d924e35f2f242db670d3697eba3e1cbc8

Realised P&L
$-680.51
Volume
$175.3k
Markets traded
130
Open portfolio
$0.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded130
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026? · Yes0.1500.001$0.11−$33.12
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? · Yes0.1860.000$0.00−$116.63
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.1260.000$0.00−$148.62
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET · Down0.0800.000$0.00−$5.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.4810.000$0.00−$390.00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$5.79
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21? · No0.0300.000$0.00−$90.00
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET · Up0.1200.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026? · No0.1090.000$0.00−$10.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · No0.6200.000$0.00−$300.00
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? · No0.0850.000$0.00−$24.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.2120.000$0.00−$545.10
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May? · Yes0.1460.000$0.00−$51.82
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 255,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 15:35Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.1261139924$148.63
08-23 13:56Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31?SELL0.0700956455$167.45
08-17 14:12Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.08$5.00
08-16 16:22Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31?BUY0.0251169747$60.00
08-16 16:150 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?SELL0.2133934995$548.74
08-04 20:030 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?BUY0.0854537693$24.00
08-04 20:020 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?BUY0.1166636947$300.00
07-31 20:35Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.999$324.35
07-21 14:44Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?BUY0.1499999964$33.23
07-21 14:42Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?BUY0.5943396221$210.00
07-21 14:41Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.7699999995$250.00
07-19 22:28Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$499.50
06-15 16:27Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.004$26.67
06-15 16:02US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0307135624$20.00
06-15 16:01Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.015$16.67