PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Mr.Polaki

0x6435933d924e35f2f242db670d3697eba3e1cbc8

Realised P&L
$-438.70
Volume
$174.1k
Markets traded
129
Open portfolio
$30.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded129
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 970m by September 30? · Yes0.0110.004$28.00$51.93
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026? · Yes0.1500.011$2.55$30.68
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? · Yes0.1860.000$0.00$116.63
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET · Down0.0800.000$0.00$5.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.4810.000$0.00$390.00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$5.79
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21? · No0.0300.000$0.00$90.00
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET · Up0.1200.000$0.00$3.00
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026? · No0.1090.000$0.00$10.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · No0.6200.000$0.00$300.00
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? · No0.0850.000$0.00$24.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.2120.000$0.00$545.10
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May? · Yes0.1460.000$0.00$51.82
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 255,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 13:56Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31?SELL0.0700956455$167.45
08-17 14:12Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.08$5.00
08-16 16:22Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31?BUY0.0251169747$60.00
08-16 16:150 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?SELL0.2133934995$548.74
08-04 20:030 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?BUY0.0854537693$24.00
08-04 20:020 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?BUY0.1166636947$300.00
07-31 20:35Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.999$324.35
07-21 14:44Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?BUY0.1499999964$33.23
07-21 14:42Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?BUY0.5943396221$210.00
07-21 14:41Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.7699999995$250.00
07-19 22:28Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$499.50
06-15 16:27Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.004$26.67
06-15 16:02US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0307135624$20.00
06-15 16:01Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.015$16.67
06-11 19:59US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.4199999992$110.00