PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Valkyrien

0x643321449e0d3a4dd19445c98f10f91fab50b874

Realised P&L
$-436.59
Volume
$3.2k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$245.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-13.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration84.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8500.835$108.06−$1.94
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.6540.605$37.02−$2.98
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4590.419$36.51−$3.49
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8200.815$24.85−$0.15
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T? · Yes0.4870.389$23.98−$6.02
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.3700.280$15.14−$4.86
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET · Up0.3200.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.3870.000$0.00−$324.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET · Down0.2100.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET · Up0.5600.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 20:01Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETBUY0.5599999642$5.00
10-06 19:57Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.2099999983$10.00
10-06 19:55Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8499999989$80.00
10-06 19:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETBUY0.7699999992$10.00
10-06 19:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETBUY0.2399999981$10.00
10-06 19:45Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETBUY0.75$50.00
10-06 19:42Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETBUY0.4$20.00
10-06 19:36Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETBUY0.32$20.00
10-06 19:32Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETBUY0.03$9.19
10-06 19:32Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETBUY0.03$20.00
10-06 19:32Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETBUY0.04$20.00
10-06 19:32Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETBUY0.04$5.00
10-06 19:32Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETBUY0.05$5.00
10-04 11:52Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?BUY0.3699999935$20.00
10-04 11:51Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?BUY0.486677164$30.00