PolyBot

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Traders

Tebesius

0x6430e217de383e5e26090cd0ec9391f313f8f4db

Realised P&L
$-513.20
Volume
$9.6k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$145.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 19:02Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0386789645$20.00
10-23 22:38Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2899999968$10.00
10-23 22:32Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?BUY0.25$10.00
10-23 22:32Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.3799999924$10.00
10-23 22:30US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?BUY0.4299999991$30.00
10-15 20:39US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?BUY0.5$20.00
08-01 15:29Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.038$25.97
07-24 12:14Will Francois Hollande win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?BUY0.1297587407$32.02
07-24 12:11Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?BUY0.4313725442$30.00
05-23 17:09Israel closes its airspace by June 30?BUY0.486168506$30.00
05-23 17:07Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?BUY0.6305418719$40.00
04-29 21:42Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?BUY0.08$30.00
03-24 14:38Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL0.998$101.57
03-14 14:05Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0416355156$32.47
03-11 22:07Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?BUY0.4499999974$35.00