PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Liveisdo

0x63eaf14428a0530f597653283e31447defee2072

Realised P&L
$-60.25
Volume
$463.3k
Markets traded
151
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded151
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes0.2710.379$1.1k+$307.12
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes0.1420.162$441.79+$53.12
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.1160.130$177.55+$18.69
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1700.165$3.30−$0.10
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4100.295$2.95−$1.15
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8300.919$1.11+$0.11
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.8900.821$0.92−$0.08
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.0160.001$0.14−$4.24
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$1.50
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00−$32.66
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$35.12
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025? · Yes0.1920.000$0.00−$5.76
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$2.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 15:44Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.1494519445$90.00
10-08 14:06Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.17$3.40
10-08 13:32Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.306$326.99
10-08 13:21Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?SELL0.2940733267$401.05
10-08 13:18Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.286$28.60
10-08 13:17Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.324$32.40
10-08 11:33Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.3419174312$37.27
10-08 09:44Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.1158656621$158.85
10-08 07:04Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?SELL0.03820249$67.17
10-08 07:03Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?SELL0.0112643422$12.15
10-08 05:12Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.0685058458$17.40
10-08 05:12Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.1536463082$95.72
10-08 05:11Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.2759533944$177.63
10-08 05:11Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.25$25.00
10-08 05:11Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.246$13.99