fluttyplump
0x63c1fb2d0a03daae2b831737830a9b8444743173
- Realised P&L
- $330.57
- Volume
- $42.9k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $190.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$635.50at 0.215UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$98.11at 0.184Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$45.06at 0.797Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?
- +$25.37at 0.612DeepSeek R2 released before May?
- +$22.27at 0.330Blues vs. Jets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 09:18 | Will Victor Cumming win the 2026 Vernon mayoral election? | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 09:18 | Will Craig Hodge win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7599999954 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 09:18 | Will Eric Woodward win the 2026 Langley Township mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 09:17 | Will Matthew Shoemaker win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 09:17 | Will Marianne Meed Ward win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election? | BUY | 0.599999988 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 09:17 | Will Kevin Ashe win the 2026 Pickering mayoral election? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 09:17 | Will Josh Morgan win the 2026 London mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9199999338 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 09:16 | Will Chloé Fauchon win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.7799999891 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 09:16 | Will Trevor Giertuga win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 09:16 | Will Alexandre Daneau win the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.8973715236 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 09:16 | Will Isabelle Blais win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.8699999904 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 09:13 | Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9617989837 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 09:10 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $3.00 |
| 09-28 09:02 | Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 18:42 | Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.0389999815 | $2.00 |