Kastazan
0x639b5b13a4146d6ba3c33d5a43a97813d7d560dc
- Realised P&L
- $-234.87
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $83.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.84at 0.262Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5
- +$21.05at 0.327Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 0.5
- +$18.38at 0.357Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 0.5
- +$17.00at 0.370Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$15.29at 0.767Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 17:00 | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $20.40 |
| 08-16 17:16 | Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.018 | $0.80 |
| 08-15 14:02 | Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 08-15 10:45 | Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $19.80 |
| 08-15 10:45 | Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $18.79 |
| 08-04 19:54 | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $19.20 |
| 08-03 15:37 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.44 | $13.20 |
| 08-01 19:17 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $19.20 |
| 08-01 13:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $26.99 |
| 07-29 18:34 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $65.89 |
| 07-29 12:26 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7579999969 | $50.00 |
| 07-24 21:06 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 12:39 | Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.066 | $1.45 |
| 07-20 12:39 | Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.0852808989 | $15.18 |
| 07-19 23:30 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $17.16 |