PolyBot

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Traders

Kastazan

0x639b5b13a4146d6ba3c33d5a43a97813d7d560dc

Realised P&L
$-234.87
Volume
$5.0k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$83.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.6400.845$25.35+$6.15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.4400.825$24.75+$11.55
Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.6550.410$24.15$14.44
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.055$5.50$4.50
Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? · Yes0.0500.026$2.60$2.40
Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.0180.013$1.25$0.55
Spread: France (-3.5) · France0.1110.000$0.00$5.00
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$5.00
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance · Colombia0.5300.000$0.00$5.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? · Yes0.2350.000$0.00$10.00
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco? · Yes0.1740.000$0.00$10.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 2.5 · Over0.1600.000$0.00$3.00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? · No0.6050.000$0.00$250.00
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00$10.00
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-22 17:00Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?SELL0.17$20.40
08-16 17:16Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.018$0.80
08-15 14:02Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.05$5.00
08-15 10:45Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?BUY0.66$19.80
08-15 10:45Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?BUY0.65$18.79
08-04 19:54Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.16$19.20
08-03 15:37Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.44$13.20
08-01 19:17Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.64$19.20
08-01 13:29Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.999$26.99
07-29 18:34Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.999$65.89
07-29 12:26Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7579999969$50.00
07-24 21:06Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$10.00
07-20 12:39Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 24, 2026?SELL0.066$1.45
07-20 12:39Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 24, 2026?SELL0.0852808989$15.18
07-19 23:30Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$17.16