PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cristhiannunez

0x637994c5d61a8701965fbd5229853928bce8fccf

Realised P&L
$4.21
Volume
$404.85
Markets traded
4
Open portfolio
$58.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded4
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? · No0.6801.000$29.42+$9.42
Will Junior Caminero hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? · Yes0.9891.000$20.22+$0.22
Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 American League MVP Award? · Yes0.1100.029$9.09−$25.91
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.1380.000$0.00−$5.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 22:03Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 American League MVP Award?BUY0.109724975$35.00
09-11 13:33Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6798565299$20.00
09-11 13:30Will Junior Caminero hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?BUY0.9889999997$20.00
09-06 08:57Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.1379999726$5.00