cristhiannunez
0x637994c5d61a8701965fbd5229853928bce8fccf
- Realised P&L
- $4.21
- Volume
- $404.85
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $58.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.680 | 1.000 | $29.42 | +$9.42 |
| Will Junior Caminero hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? · Yes | 0.989 | 1.000 | $20.22 | +$0.22 |
| Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 American League MVP Award? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.029 | $9.09 | −$25.91 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.138 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 22:03 | Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 American League MVP Award? | BUY | 0.109724975 | $35.00 |
| 09-11 13:33 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6798565299 | $20.00 |
| 09-11 13:30 | Will Junior Caminero hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | BUY | 0.9889999997 | $20.00 |
| 09-06 08:57 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.1379999726 | $5.00 |