kadanilov
0x636deff6a2a6a25c2870d65189085fef44f196ac
- Realised P&L
- $-182.79
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 424
- Open portfolio
- $52.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded424
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.23at 0.500Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$22.21at 0.820Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$19.46at 0.442Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?
- +$18.95at 0.050Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
- +$17.82at 0.094Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 20:04 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.09 |
| 10-31 20:03 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 20:02 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.0899999969 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 10:01 | Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Brighton & Hove Albion FC O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.659999963 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 09:52 | Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.64 | $4.00 |
| 10-31 09:50 | Aston Villa FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 09:50 | Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Chelsea FC O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 09:48 | Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Brentford FC O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 09:45 | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 09:45 | Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz | BUY | 0.6699999911 | $15.00 |
| 10-31 09:44 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.7099999853 | $15.00 |
| 10-29 09:46 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 09:23 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6799999873 | $15.00 |
| 10-29 09:21 | Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs | BUY | 0.6299999685 | $6.00 |
| 10-29 09:21 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs | BUY | 0.6299999685 | $6.00 |