PolyBot

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Traders

Lars3n

0x6366a92accd505fc71b7d4c770f07cfa49012333

Realised P&L
$3.04
Volume
$43.30
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$35.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30? · No0.8920.945$10.60+$0.60
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.9910.992$10.01+$0.01
Will Natus Vincere Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026? · No0.9100.900$9.89$0.11
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.915$5.03+$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 09:05Karpat Oulu vs. Ilves TampereBUY0.5$1.00
09-16 09:05KooKoo vs. JYP JyvaskylaBUY0.559999776$1.00
09-15 09:08SaiPa Lappeenranta vs. Kiekko-EspooBUY0.5799999768$1.00
09-15 09:03Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30?BUY0.8918838553$10.00
09-15 09:03Will Natus Vincere Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026?BUY0.9099999991$10.00
09-15 08:58Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.9909999368$10.00
09-15 08:58Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$5.00