PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x633e96a4b7ae543522358282eafa023fe61bd305-1783406206089

0x633e96a4b7ae543522358282eafa023fe61bd305

Realised P&L
$-218.8k
Volume
$4.90M
Markets traded
9,297
Open portfolio
$522.74

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded9,297
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration50.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2460.080$140.96$296.04
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.7390.900$83.13+$14.89
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.4010.555$82.12+$22.74
Will Cusco FC win on 2026-07-18? · Yes0.6281.000$37.91+$14.11
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering? · Yes0.1500.125$24.03$4.81
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.8870.959$20.57+$1.53
Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO5) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs · M800.8101.000$18.99+$3.61
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1400.125$17.00$2.04
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.6201.000$15.35+$5.83
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards? · No0.4800.725$14.37+$4.85
Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes0.1900.175$8.77$0.75
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16? · No0.6400.545$8.11$1.41
Will Ningbo Professional FC win on 2026-08-09? · No0.7400.535$6.88$2.64
Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 1 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC? · Yes0.0480.051$5.01+$0.25
Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes0.1700.355$4.08+$2.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 02:22Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.87$16.56
09-12 06:53Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.8554678761$1.0k
09-12 06:51Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.8610649004$296.40
09-09 03:13Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.8567422362$332.71
09-09 02:33Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.8561178974$291.26
09-09 02:19Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.8562174571$485.43
09-07 18:42Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.848999999$97.08
09-07 07:56Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.8530000208$34.97
09-07 07:43Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.8529999992$97.08
09-07 06:53Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.847337078$2.9k
09-06 23:40Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?BUY0.7299999901$9.61
09-06 23:38Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?BUY0.7299999901$9.61
09-04 12:34Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.4385352854$266.59
09-03 05:33Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.7249999994$97.08
09-03 03:39Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4699999991$285.71