PolyBot

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Traders

mrmiracle

0x632cf39c8869a97038925792a5f28fde3c309c1e

Realised P&L
$-45.21
Volume
$36.3k
Markets traded
195
Open portfolio
$124.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded195
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? · Yes0.7210.865$77.85+$12.95
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6760.879$41.93+$9.69
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0850.017$3.71−$15.46
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1110.003$0.54−$19.44
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3770.000$0.00−$162.11
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$10.50
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting? · Yes0.9500.000$0.00−$10.00
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00−$219.99
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00−$4.80
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting? · Yes0.3960.000$0.00−$13.20
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes0.3880.000$0.00−$22.50
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? · No0.0990.000$0.00−$10.89
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? · No0.4700.000$0.00−$7.80
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$1.50
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 12:07Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.84$16.80
10-06 11:58Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?BUY0.76$30.40
10-04 20:52Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?BUY0.72$28.80
10-04 20:51Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.8$22.14
10-02 11:39Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5659999847$20.00
10-02 11:39Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.4$14.06
10-02 11:36Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.249$18.68
09-28 13:59Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.57$60.12
09-23 12:44Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.0409999999$20.00
09-23 12:37Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.0409948838$200.00
09-23 12:33Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?SELL0.281$7.03
09-23 12:32Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?SELL0.52$13.00
09-23 12:31Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?SELL0.77$23.10
09-22 14:27Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.301$22.57
09-20 17:22Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?SELL0.292$14.60