mrmiracle
0x632cf39c8869a97038925792a5f28fde3c309c1e
- Realised P&L
- $-45.21
- Volume
- $36.3k
- Markets traded
- 195
- Open portfolio
- $124.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded195
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$204.06at 0.086Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$52.77at 0.080Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$38.92at 0.051Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
- +$38.26at 0.417Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$35.88at 0.183Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 12:07 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.84 | $16.80 |
| 10-06 11:58 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | BUY | 0.76 | $30.40 |
| 10-04 20:52 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | BUY | 0.72 | $28.80 |
| 10-04 20:51 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.8 | $22.14 |
| 10-02 11:39 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5659999847 | $20.00 |
| 10-02 11:39 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.4 | $14.06 |
| 10-02 11:36 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.249 | $18.68 |
| 09-28 13:59 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.57 | $60.12 |
| 09-23 12:44 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.0409999999 | $20.00 |
| 09-23 12:37 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.0409948838 | $200.00 |
| 09-23 12:33 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | SELL | 0.281 | $7.03 |
| 09-23 12:32 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | SELL | 0.52 | $13.00 |
| 09-23 12:31 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | SELL | 0.77 | $23.10 |
| 09-22 14:27 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.301 | $22.57 |
| 09-20 17:22 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | SELL | 0.292 | $14.60 |