0x63070ae2efe39add4c66751058b64e3701300447
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $56.37
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.044 | $31.59 | −$110.41 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.820 | 1.000 | $13.00 | +$2.34 |
| Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-03-07? · Yes | 0.110 | 1.000 | $6.97 | +$6.20 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · OpenAI | 0.420 | 0.021 | $4.81 | −$91.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$597.96at 0.180Will "Anxiety - Doechii" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
- +$583.77at 0.130Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Grambling State Tigers
- +$352.41at 0.490Will Trump say "Too Big to Rig" this week? (March 22)
- +$333.33at 0.181Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?
- +$246.66at 0.480ELH: Karlovy Vary vs. Liberec
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 09:34 | Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $572.24 |
| 04-23 13:28 | Will Millonarios FC vs. CD Tolima end in a draw? | BUY | 0.74 | $442.52 |
| 04-23 08:42 | Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $516.26 |
| 04-21 03:56 | Gemini 3.5 released by June 30? | SELL | 0.79 | $418.70 |
| 04-21 03:55 | Gemini 3.5 released by June 30? | SELL | 0.79 | $511.92 |
| 04-21 03:50 | Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | SELL | 0.56 | $538.72 |
| 04-13 17:53 | Gemini 3.5 released by June 30? | BUY | 0.83 | $977.74 |
| 04-13 17:22 | Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | BUY | 0.58 | $557.96 |
| 04-13 15:37 | Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $431.34 |
| 04-13 05:09 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-15? | SELL | 0.3 | $50.10 |
| 04-13 05:08 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-15? | SELL | 0.3 | $6.30 |
| 04-13 05:07 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-15? | SELL | 0.29 | $7.54 |
| 04-12 16:07 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-15? | SELL | 0.31 | $2.79 |
| 04-11 17:54 | Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | SELL | 0.07 | $32.76 |
| 04-11 17:17 | Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | SELL | 0.76 | $5.32 |