PolyBot

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Traders

0x6302CDeFa498e7174dd0fcD6b06652A38eAe7917-1720863615256

0x6302cdefa498e7174dd0fcd6b06652a38eae7917

Realised P&L
$32.1k
Volume
$2.96M
Markets traded
109
Open portfolio
$62.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded109
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5230.485$57.2k$4.5k
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8380.998$5.4k+$857.42
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.2300.000$0.00$115.00
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.1070.000$0.00$320.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET · Down0.4600.000$0.00$92.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET · Down0.3470.000$0.00$103.63
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET · Up0.4050.000$0.00$280.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Up0.4450.000$0.00$567.82
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET · Down0.3780.000$0.00$113.33
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00$100.00
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yes0.1150.000$0.00$8.3k
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00$267.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 11:13Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.88$50.4k
09-01 05:27Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.89$2.8k
07-27 16:22Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.729$5.1k
07-27 16:20Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.729$4.4k
07-27 16:19Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.729$801.90
07-27 16:18Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.729$874.80
07-27 16:18Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.729$2.3k
07-27 16:16Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.728$13.1k
05-17 13:26Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY0.0408902419$100.00
04-24 05:11Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?SELL0.003$13.35
04-16 16:39Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?SELL0.3861575385$1.0k
04-16 16:38Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?SELL0.4003666667$360.33
04-16 13:45Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?SELL0.938010048$4.7k
04-16 13:44Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?SELL0.9828929386$10.3k
04-16 13:43Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?SELL0.99$33.6k