devon65
0x62f0198cfdc4836bff26f9f45c2ae899f64a2761
- Realised P&L
- $-36.41
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $12.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chris Thomas be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.400 | $5.58 | +$2.51 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.212 | 0.230 | $3.63 | +$0.29 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.270 | $3.41 | +$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.70at 0.532Jets vs. Steelers
- +$20.95at 0.480Knicks vs. Pistons
- +$14.61at 0.528Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on August 11?
- +$14.42at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4?
- +$13.70at 0.669Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 17:52 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999921 | $3.28 |
| 09-26 17:50 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.2117579153 | $3.34 |
| 09-21 06:32 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.3399999818 | $5.99 |
| 09-18 03:24 | Will Chris Thomas be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? | BUY | 0.2199999914 | $3.07 |
| 09-18 03:22 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.2699999985 | $14.23 |
| 09-16 02:39 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.3799999942 | $3.95 |
| 09-16 02:37 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.3937106918 | $9.39 |
| 09-13 21:26 | Cowboys vs. Giants | BUY | 0.6099999911 | $21.24 |
| 09-09 15:25 | 49ers vs. Rams | BUY | 0.6499999898 | $19.16 |
| 09-05 15:38 | Boston College vs. Cincinnati | BUY | 0.2799999649 | $5.43 |
| 09-02 09:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 3? | BUY | 0.2099999542 | $2.89 |
| 08-30 20:00 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire | BUY | 0.3299999772 | $9.27 |
| 08-27 23:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 28? | BUY | 0.219999956 | $3.40 |
| 08-25 17:48 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on August 26? | BUY | 0.24 | $6.09 |
| 08-23 03:25 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 23? | BUY | 0.4847198118 | $4.59 |