PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

flipperino

0x62cb4797542009c7065d4d3348a0a9b1c287e2e0

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$119.8k
Markets traded
180
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded180
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes0.7500.745$223.50−$1.50
Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.935$178.77+$6.60
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7600.870$173.99+$22.00
Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · Yes0.2600.780$130.55+$87.03
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.3800.345$103.50−$10.50
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? · No0.9080.935$96.69+$2.79
Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6700.660$66.00−$1.00
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.7200.645$64.50−$7.50
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0058 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3700.535$38.64+$11.92
Will Hyperliquid reach $150 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8000.845$33.80+$1.80
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4120.501$31.24+$5.57
Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · Yes0.2330.122$24.76−$22.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 4AM ET · Down0.0860.000$0.00−$21.50
Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Down0.0630.000$0.00−$1.89
Will Ethena reach $0.28 by December 31, 2026? · No0.0600.000$0.00−$12.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 09:35Will Zcash dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.74$14.80
09-18 22:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6PM ETBUY0.05$5.00
09-03 20:47Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?SELL0.3970727628$28.49
01-25 12:38Will Lighter dip to $1.50 in January?BUY0.75$74.60
01-18 20:20Will Luís Marques Mendes win between 20% and 22% of votes in the first round?SELL0.001$0.20
01-18 19:59Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win the first round?BUY0.0049517314$1.15
01-17 04:54Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?BUY0.91$93.73
01-17 04:54Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?BUY0.9$252.45
01-15 17:52Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?BUY0.86$86.00
01-15 17:52Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?BUY0.85$157.66
01-15 17:52Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?BUY0.84$30.45
01-15 07:45Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?BUY0.86$86.00
01-15 07:45Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?BUY0.85$30.60
01-14 21:40Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?SELL0.64$24.39
01-10 23:00Will António José Seguro win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?SELL0.09$9.45