Aimaterasu
0x62b85ef028f8aaa7d82b1ea4521a853f52083aea
- Realised P&L
- $10.13
- Volume
- $598.64
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $330.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration47.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.734 | 0.745 | $157.71 | +$2.38 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.645 | $54.83 | +$1.27 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.765 | $45.90 | +$0.30 |
| Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.695 | $27.77 | +$6.19 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.165 | 0.201 | $26.07 | +$4.59 |
| Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.325 | 0.325 | $18.52 | −$0.01 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026? · No | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.65 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 18:18 | Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.54 | $21.57 |
| 09-07 18:17 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.63 | $53.55 |
| 09-07 18:13 | Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.74 | $59.21 |
| 09-07 18:12 | Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.73 | $96.13 |
| 08-30 14:44 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $4.65 |
| 08-29 11:12 | Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.33 | $9.90 |
| 08-29 11:11 | Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.32 | $8.64 |
| 08-28 09:25 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1652307692 | $21.48 |
| 08-28 09:24 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.76 | $45.60 |