0x629DeD69171382fa8EC3A138f5673f1639FAa370-1775617096210
0x629ded69171382fa8ec3a138f5673f1639faa370
- Realised P&L
- $-165.03
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $14.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.83at 0.340Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?
- +$19.18at 0.610Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
- +$9.88at 0.473Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
- +$7.73at 0.660US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$4.93at 0.670Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 00:57 | Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in May? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.42 |
| 05-13 00:56 | Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in May? | BUY | 0.0584737258 | $5.00 |
| 05-13 00:56 | Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May? | BUY | 0.0532835541 | $10.00 |
| 05-13 00:54 | Will Iran Play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.1343952106 | $10.00 |
| 05-13 00:52 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31? | BUY | 0.011 | $10.00 |
| 05-13 00:51 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 05-13 00:50 | US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by June 30? | BUY | 0.2156862593 | $10.00 |
| 05-13 00:49 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.3699999887 | $20.00 |
| 04-29 01:28 | Will Putin visit China by May 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $9.90 |
| 04-20 01:33 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.81 |
| 04-20 01:31 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in April? | BUY | 0.409999991 | $9.53 |
| 04-20 01:30 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April? | BUY | 0.2779999678 | $4.71 |
| 04-20 01:26 | Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.1805290238 | $5.00 |
| 04-20 01:25 | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.4131350652 | $30.00 |
| 04-20 01:22 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999912 | $15.00 |