PolyBot

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Traders

0x629DeD69171382fa8EC3A138f5673f1639FAa370-1775617096210

0x629ded69171382fa8ec3a138f5673f1639faa370

Realised P&L
$-165.03
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$14.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.3700.135$7.30$12.70
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? · Yes0.1700.070$6.18$8.82
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? · Yes0.0900.011$0.64$4.36
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in May? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$1.42
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? · No0.4130.000$0.00$30.00
Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$5.00
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? · No0.4600.000$0.00$5.00
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? · No0.0280.000$0.00$10.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? · No0.2400.000$0.00$50.00
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May? · No0.0530.000$0.00$10.00
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$5.00
Will Putin visit China by May 31? · No0.1100.000$0.00$9.90
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in April? · Yes0.4790.000$0.00$11.40
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April? · Yes0.4080.000$0.00$7.13
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-13 00:57Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in May?BUY0.32$1.42
05-13 00:56Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in May?BUY0.0584737258$5.00
05-13 00:56Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?BUY0.0532835541$10.00
05-13 00:54Will Iran Play in the World Cup?BUY0.1343952106$10.00
05-13 00:52Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?BUY0.011$10.00
05-13 00:51Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
05-13 00:50US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by June 30?BUY0.2156862593$10.00
05-13 00:49US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.3699999887$20.00
04-29 01:28Will Putin visit China by May 31?BUY0.11$9.90
04-20 01:33Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?BUY0.4$3.81
04-20 01:31Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in April?BUY0.409999991$9.53
04-20 01:30Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?BUY0.2779999678$4.71
04-20 01:26Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?BUY0.1805290238$5.00
04-20 01:25Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?BUY0.4131350652$30.00
04-20 01:22US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?BUY0.6599999912$15.00