CoffeeDespiser
0x629c2844d5c0e36774a67fe10dcd43ca31a76c01
- Realised P&L
- $-25.5k
- Volume
- $16.81M
- Markets traded
- 1,913
- Open portfolio
- $13.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,913
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$855.5kat 0.071Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$240.1kat 0.052Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$85.6kat 0.222Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$51.1kat 0.261Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$33.0kat 0.340Will PSV win on 2026-09-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 09:40 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.9750878329 | $2.8k |
| 10-28 14:40 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $55.4k |
| 10-27 22:47 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.9k |
| 10-27 21:17 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.6160378029 | $45.4k |
| 10-27 21:16 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.65 | $9.8k |
| 10-26 20:40 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.7684148057 | $1.0k |
| 10-26 20:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.07488931 | $1.9k |
| 10-26 16:18 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.669 | $594.16 |
| 10-26 16:01 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3492497742 | $1.6k |
| 10-26 16:00 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.5854024115 | $4.5k |
| 10-26 14:11 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.634 | $1.3k |
| 10-26 14:02 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.626808538 | $4.0k |
| 10-26 13:58 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.929 | $37.15 |
| 10-26 00:01 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.992 | $3.0k |
| 10-25 23:50 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.984 | $81.8k |