PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

CoffeeDespiser

0x629c2844d5c0e36774a67fe10dcd43ca31a76c01

Realised P&L
$13.3k
Volume
$8.07M
Markets traded
1,546
Open portfolio
$22.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,546
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-08-02? · No0.9301.000$10.0k+$695.22
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1140.248$7.1k+$3.9k
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · No0.5700.585$1.2k+$29.88
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.011$845.51$1.5k
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.655$593.79+$565.46
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.006$447.14$1.9k
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0070.255$382.50+$371.51
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.004$267.83$2.1k
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0350.003$197.46$2.6k
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala · Alexandra Eala0.3700.195$195.00$175.00
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.003$140.97$1.6k
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0160.017$140.12+$1.13
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.076$139.85+$82.72
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.002$129.03$2.6k
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.002$107.17$2.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 16:16Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.929221238$251.75
08-02 16:15Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.43$2.1k
07-31 05:17Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31?BUY0.31$15.35
07-29 18:00Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$6.0k
07-29 16:34Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.995$10.0k
07-27 15:39Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington NationalsBUY0.53$5.3k
07-27 14:57Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-07-27?SELL0.46$45.86
07-26 23:12Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen ZhengBUY0.42$365.99
07-26 15:41Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-07-26?BUY0.48$2.4k
07-19 22:02Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.001$11.10
07-19 21:46Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.09$4.02
07-19 21:44Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?BUY0.89$743.59
07-19 21:21Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?SELL0.9975$4.2k
07-19 17:41Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.963$327.63
07-15 20:54England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.9693403027$3.8k