Tetongd
0x624cd542656784f5533d120c57e7ad3925bda97f
- Realised P&L
- $291.23
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.979 | 0.951 | $1.9k | −$57.00 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · No | 0.300 | 0.305 | $91.50 | +$1.50 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · No | 0.500 | 0.455 | $91.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.899 | 0.945 | $56.69 | +$2.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$291.23at 0.951Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 02:38 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.899 | $53.93 |
| 10-29 04:03 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $15.00 |
| 10-29 04:03 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $45.00 |
| 10-29 04:03 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 10-29 03:42 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.979 | $2.0k |
| 10-28 11:18 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.949 | $284.79 |
| 10-28 08:42 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9517442308 | $4.9k |