PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Npf1

0x623f75fcdd091362468921a39b391ab7582f1852

Realised P&L
$-357.15
Volume
$66.4k
Markets traded
645
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded645
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7610.955$315.15+$64.05
Will Waymo launch in London, UK by December 31 2026? · No0.8940.935$193.50+$8.50
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No0.9170.976$49.75+$3.00
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.988$49.38+$1.88
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? · No0.9100.989$40.55+$3.24
Human moon landing in 2026? · No0.9400.981$39.22+$1.62
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.976$39.02+$3.82
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7000.855$36.77+$6.67
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? · No0.7480.905$35.93+$6.25
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8400.989$32.62+$4.90
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.8400.955$25.79+$3.10
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? · No0.9200.979$19.57+$1.17
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7550.972$19.44+$4.34
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? · No0.8300.959$19.17+$2.57
Will Frank Ocean have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · No0.9480.917$18.92−$0.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-26 10:00Will Waymo launch in London, UK by December 31 2026?BUY0.9350272911$100.00
08-07 23:33Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.7899999983$75.00
07-19 21:53Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.0774999333$1.00
07-19 21:41Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?BUY0.6199999864$10.00
07-19 21:30Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?BUY0.4099999289$3.00
07-19 21:24Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
07-19 21:14Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.7474999299$10.00
07-19 20:56Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.05$2.00
07-19 20:55Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?BUY0.5725567455$10.00
07-18 22:45France vs. England: Team to WinSELL0.3$66.05
07-18 22:45Will France win on 2026-07-18?SELL0.13$18.28
07-18 22:18Will France win on 2026-07-18?SELL0.104$9.75
07-18 22:08France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.037$11.47
07-18 22:07Will France win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.014$5.00
07-18 21:20France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.2899999907$20.00