Alla-h
0x623684786a23cd6fa0b9755086f2a7809b664558
- Realised P&L
- $13.28
- Volume
- $6.7k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $485.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat? · Yes | 0.945 | 0.964 | $54.83 | +$1.08 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IL-03 House seat? · No | 0.979 | 0.976 | $54.77 | −$0.17 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-03 House seat? · No | 0.977 | 0.985 | $53.70 | +$0.41 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.972 | 0.976 | $53.10 | +$0.19 |
| Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · No | 0.949 | 0.928 | $52.35 | −$1.18 |
| Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No | 0.930 | 0.911 | $52.05 | −$1.09 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.977 | 0.965 | $50.15 | −$0.65 |
| Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No | 0.968 | 0.955 | $49.63 | −$0.70 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · No | 0.975 | 0.958 | $48.86 | −$0.87 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? · No | 0.969 | 0.306 | $15.64 | −$33.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.54at 0.870Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
- +$2.01at 0.962Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
- +$1.87at 0.964US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
- +$1.70at 0.954Will the Republican Party win the GA-05 House seat?
- +$1.43at 0.972Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 07:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April? | BUY | 0.985 | $22.10 |
| 04-07 07:40 | Will "XO, Kitty Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.9809999994 | $21.71 |