Alla-h
0x623684786a23cd6fa0b9755086f2a7809b664558
- Realised P&L
- $-1.86
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $541.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-05 House seat? · No | 0.954 | 0.977 | $72.12 | +$1.66 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.945 | $51.03 | +$0.27 |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? · No | 0.974 | 0.971 | $50.49 | −$0.16 |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.985 | 0.978 | $49.85 | −$0.38 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IL-03 House seat? · No | 0.975 | 0.976 | $49.75 | +$0.03 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · No | 0.975 | 0.973 | $49.60 | −$0.13 |
| Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026? · No | 0.992 | 0.988 | $49.40 | −$0.20 |
| Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No | 0.968 | 0.947 | $49.22 | −$1.12 |
| StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No | 0.954 | 0.941 | $47.99 | −$0.66 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? · No | 0.969 | 0.838 | $42.84 | −$6.69 |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No | 0.953 | 0.952 | $28.92 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.54at 0.870Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
- +$2.01at 0.962Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
- +$1.87at 0.964US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
- +$1.43at 0.972Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.22at 0.965Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 07:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April? | BUY | 0.985 | $22.10 |
| 04-07 07:40 | Will "XO, Kitty Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.9809999994 | $21.71 |