PolyBot

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Traders

0x6213c328ce75a5d2fdb04d0f1fb33b8ecdf8ae33

0x6213c328ce75a5d2fdb04d0f1fb33b8ecdf8ae33

Realised P&L
$-25.81
Volume
$3.9k
Markets traded
890
Open portfolio
$48.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded890
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.985$4.34−$0.06
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.985$4.34−$0.06
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.980$4.31−$0.09
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.966$4.25−$0.15
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.966$4.25−$0.15
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.957$4.21−$0.18
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31? · No0.9800.994$3.74+$0.05
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? · No0.9970.985$3.65−$0.04
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? · Yes0.9990.990$3.64−$0.04
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? · No0.9980.986$3.64−$0.05
Will exactly 4 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? · No0.9990.995$3.60−$0.02
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 29, 2026? · Yes0.9990.936$3.45−$0.23
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.9980.276$1.21−$3.19
Will Kyle Campbell win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election? · No0.9880.000$0.00−$4.39
XRP Up or Down - October 22, 9PM ET · Up0.9790.000$0.00−$4.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 02:58Bitcoin above 77,800 on November 1, 10PM ET?BUY0.999$3.68
11-01 23:57Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?BUY0.999$3.68
10-31 20:57France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?BUY0.997$3.69
10-31 20:57Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9979999432$3.69
10-31 20:56Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?BUY0.9799997716$3.69
10-30 23:57Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 30, 2026?BUY0.998$3.62
10-30 09:56XRP Up or Down - October 30, 5AM ETBUY0.99$3.68
10-30 09:56Solana Up or Down - October 30, 5AM ETBUY0.999$3.68
10-30 05:58XRP Up or Down - October 30, 1AM ETBUY0.9809999971$3.70
10-30 05:56Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than or equal to 0.0%?BUY0.9959998493$3.70
10-30 04:56BNB Up or Down - October 30, 12AM ETBUY0.999$2.14
10-30 04:56Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12AM ETBUY0.996$3.68
10-30 03:56Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 29, 2026?BUY0.999$3.68
10-29 23:56Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?BUY0.999$3.67
10-29 10:56Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6AM ETBUY0.9709999984$3.67