POTUSby
0x6204bad10670eede693eaaf96c039d751298421a
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $1.06M
- Markets traded
- 397
- Open portfolio
- $14.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded397
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.831Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
- +$2.4kat 0.898Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
- +$2.1kat 0.880Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$2.1kat 0.785Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.930Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:13 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $42.00 |
| 08-02 16:35 | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.8903199864 | $445.15 |
| 08-01 02:43 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.85 | $170.00 |
| 07-31 17:44 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.25 |
| 07-26 12:30 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.993 | $856.46 |
| 07-26 12:30 | Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $137.31 |
| 07-21 12:57 | Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? | SELL | 0.995 | $99.50 |
| 07-18 13:30 | LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | SELL | 0.246 | $2.32 |
| 07-18 07:11 | Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.991 | $637.91 |
| 07-18 07:09 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.0099693224 | $11.19 |
| 07-14 20:51 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.25 | $45.50 |
| 07-14 12:55 | Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2131799969 | $566.74 |
| 07-12 11:46 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | SELL | 0.41 | $41.00 |
| 07-12 11:45 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | SELL | 0.6687341772 | $52.83 |
| 07-10 17:26 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.017 | $25.50 |