for-the-lulz
0x61e2a4cbabc8b3da3f8bb60b0b8cf3095e644958
- Realised P&L
- $-6.8k
- Volume
- $698.3k
- Markets traded
- 160
- Open portfolio
- $783.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded160
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.70at 0.570Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$15.83at 0.240Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
- +$12.50at 0.800US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$6.67at 0.750Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$-1.00at 0.001Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 21:28 | Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0889031134 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 09:38 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $11.00 |
| 07-15 09:38 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 09:36 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $20.00 |
| 07-12 07:30 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.4499999995 | $139.45 |
| 07-11 21:14 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0616822579 | $40.00 |
| 07-11 21:12 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $40.00 |
| 07-11 21:11 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 21:08 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 21:08 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 21:08 | Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | BUY | 0.0129332644 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 21:08 | Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 21:08 | Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 21:06 | Iran coup attempt by December 31? | BUY | 0.1199999856 | $7.00 |
| 07-11 21:05 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |