PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Hydrogen21

0x61e139efd72883ad13c439829398f62c39c8c580

Realised P&L
$1.0k
Volume
$11.0k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6020.956$378.09+$140.01
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes0.6320.770$257.51+$46.23
Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.7360.955$103.14+$23.64
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0850.045$81.00$72.00
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.3900.920$55.23+$31.83
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2110.262$52.30+$10.10
Concrete FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.6800.935$36.35+$9.91
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7400.750$22.51+$0.31
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4500.085$8.50$36.50
Will Fuse launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.2200.580$6.38+$3.96
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.2850.000$0.00$57.00
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.1130.000$0.00$0.83
Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$12.00
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$16.80
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$41.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 17:03Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.09$81.00
04-01 15:29Mezo FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.5894393789$113.13
03-18 23:56US forces enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.66$262.89
03-18 23:53US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.66$64.89
03-18 23:52US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.66$66.00
03-18 23:46US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.66$132.00
03-18 17:36Will Powell say "Speculate" or "Speculation" during March press conference?SELL0.49$37.24
03-18 17:33Will Powell say "Speculate" or "Speculation" during March press conference?BUY0.51$37.74
03-18 17:32Will Powell say "Speculate" or "Speculation" during March press conference?BUY0.51$51.00
03-18 17:31Will Powell say "Speculate" or "Speculation" during March press conference?BUY0.5$64.02