Hydrogen21
0x61e139efd72883ad13c439829398f62c39c8c580
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $11.0k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$793.70at 0.276Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?
- +$142.29at 0.465Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
- +$120.00at 0.657Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$84.70at 0.153Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$71.90at 0.280Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 17:03 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.09 | $81.00 |
| 04-01 15:29 | Mezo FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5894393789 | $113.13 |
| 03-18 23:56 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.66 | $262.89 |
| 03-18 23:53 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.66 | $64.89 |
| 03-18 23:52 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.66 | $66.00 |
| 03-18 23:46 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.66 | $132.00 |
| 03-18 17:36 | Will Powell say "Speculate" or "Speculation" during March press conference? | SELL | 0.49 | $37.24 |
| 03-18 17:33 | Will Powell say "Speculate" or "Speculation" during March press conference? | BUY | 0.51 | $37.74 |
| 03-18 17:32 | Will Powell say "Speculate" or "Speculation" during March press conference? | BUY | 0.51 | $51.00 |
| 03-18 17:31 | Will Powell say "Speculate" or "Speculation" during March press conference? | BUY | 0.5 | $64.02 |