PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

mikeken

0x61c2327ca95158c2c81aeb125f513193b8f3602b

Realised P&L
$34.44
Volume
$23.6k
Markets traded
68
Open portfolio
$2.79

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded68
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? · Yes0.7501.000$1.33+$0.33
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? · Yes0.9761.000$1.02+$0.02
Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7800.340$0.44$0.56
Maryland vs. Wisconsin · Wisconsin0.7700.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on March 14? · Yes0.9100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$1.00
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$2.00
Will Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.8700.000$0.00$2.20
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Arkansas vs. Memphis · Arkansas0.7100.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6? · Yes0.8900.000$0.00$1.00
Will WD-40 Company (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.9300.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-05 19:54Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
06-05 19:50Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?BUY0.75$1.00
06-05 19:33Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6?BUY0.8899994126$1.00
06-05 19:30SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?BUY0.9759991567$1.00
06-05 19:16Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.7199999654$5.00
05-09 03:03Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
05-09 03:02Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 76°F or higher on May 10?BUY0.9$1.00
05-09 03:01Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 10?BUY0.3804877056$2.00
05-09 02:58Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETBUY0.7799999813$5.00
03-13 05:04Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 14?BUY0.4199998236$1.00
03-13 05:03Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on March 14?BUY0.91$1.00
03-13 05:02Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.7590008708$3.00
03-13 05:02Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?BUY0.8549999743$1.00
01-27 11:14Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.7399999457$3.00
01-27 11:13Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?BUY0.543999839$1.00
Trader mikeken · PolyBot