fewww
0x619c9b8ada30da7501264d14292dadf9f7f0c9a2
- Realised P&L
- $-287.40
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $30.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.988 | 0.998 | $10.70 | +$0.10 |
| Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.644 | $7.73 | −$2.71 |
| Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? · No | 0.970 | 0.972 | $6.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Plasma reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.957 | 0.953 | $2.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will RISE launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.410 | $1.93 | −$1.17 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.980 | 0.977 | $1.49 | −$0.01 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$158.62 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 8? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$123.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.66at 0.820GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$0.46at 0.991Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?
- +$0.41at 0.730Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$0.34at 0.650Annual inflation above 2.2% in September?
- +$0.30at 0.800Assad public appearance before 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 21:14 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.5099999998 | $158.62 |
| 06-21 21:10 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.50 |
| 06-13 21:37 | Will Plasma reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9569999904 | $3.00 |
| 06-13 21:36 | Will RISE launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6599998126 | $3.10 |
| 06-13 21:35 | GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8199998087 | $3.00 |
| 03-12 17:46 | Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $5.98 |
| 02-19 19:28 | Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the March meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.00 |
| 02-19 19:27 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.00 |
| 02-19 19:27 | Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 02-19 19:27 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of February? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.00 |
| 02-19 19:26 | Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9699999968 | $6.00 |
| 02-19 19:24 | Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9879999993 | $10.60 |
| 11-07 18:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 8? | BUY | 0.6999999994 | $123.00 |
| 11-07 17:54 | Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7? | BUY | 0.987999996 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 20:21 | Will Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2025? | BUY | 0.9889999956 | $1.13 |