PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

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0x619c9b8ada30da7501264d14292dadf9f7f0c9a2

Realised P&L
$-287.40
Volume
$10.1k
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$30.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.9880.998$10.70+$0.10
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.8700.644$7.73$2.71
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? · No0.9700.972$6.01+$0.01
Will Plasma reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9570.953$2.99$0.01
Will RISE launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.6600.410$1.93$1.17
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9800.977$1.49$0.01
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$158.62
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 8? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00$123.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-21 21:14Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.5099999998$158.62
06-21 21:10Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.98$1.50
06-13 21:37Will Plasma reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9569999904$3.00
06-13 21:36Will RISE launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.6599998126$3.10
06-13 21:35GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.8199998087$3.00
03-12 17:46Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.997$5.98
02-19 19:28Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the March meeting?BUY0.999$4.00
02-19 19:27Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?BUY0.999$4.00
02-19 19:27Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.999$6.00
02-19 19:27Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of February?BUY0.998$5.00
02-19 19:26Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?BUY0.9699999968$6.00
02-19 19:24Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.9879999993$10.60
11-07 18:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 8?BUY0.6999999994$123.00
11-07 17:54Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?BUY0.987999996$1.00
10-10 20:21Will Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2025?BUY0.9889999956$1.13