PolyBot

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Traders

Seman31

0x619832ff2c78786523b25394e20dcdee6f5e90fe

Realised P&L
$-42.28
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$57.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.5400.865$16.02+$6.02
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.1580.588$11.12+$8.12
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4000.355$8.88−$1.13
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0190.017$8.68−$1.32
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0250.015$5.80−$4.20
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? · Yes0.1300.042$3.23−$6.77
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1900.041$2.13−$7.87
US military draft authorized in 2026? · Yes0.1100.020$1.82−$8.18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.3200.000$0.00−$10.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.3300.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00−$5.00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? · No0.2300.000$0.00−$10.00
Netanyahu out by March 31? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-09 15:25US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1584717215$3.00
07-02 06:00US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5399999903$10.00
07-02 06:00Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0569999894$5.00
06-11 19:05Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.6899999425$3.00
06-01 16:33US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$10.00
06-01 16:32Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?SELL0.973$10.46
05-07 10:44Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4$10.00
04-15 08:19US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.3299999812$10.00
04-09 09:31Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?BUY0.2299999869$10.00
04-09 09:31Trump out as President before GTA VI?SELL0.47$9.79
03-17 13:51Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.0370000003$5.00
03-17 13:48Trump out as President before GTA VI?BUY0.4799999827$10.00
03-17 13:46Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0190000001$10.00
03-17 13:44China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.189999988$10.00
03-17 13:44S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?BUY0.8899999947$10.00