PolyBot

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Traders

longer4longer

0x618c6ad4380f9d216a70020480fd8a1ff01a0f4e

Realised P&L
$-2.4k
Volume
$488.6k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$13.28

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration93.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0080.004$13.28$18.48
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting? · No0.0630.000$0.00$749.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-06 14:56Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.0143272904$989.33
06-06 14:56Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.0089866108$406.50
06-05 00:31Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.007$300.00
06-05 00:30Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.007$500.00
03-31 22:20Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0054534643$7.36
11-13 15:19Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration in 2025?SELL0.0181350102$18.32
11-09 19:29Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration in 2025?BUY0.0494940556$50.00
08-28 21:02Was Kanye hacked?SELL0.0066755937$313.68
08-26 15:41Was Kanye hacked?BUY0.0149331033$750.00
03-11 11:52Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?SELL0.0289684052$482.75
03-11 11:51No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?SELL0.0368971982$441.64
03-11 11:38Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?SELL0.0306727794$511.15
03-11 11:37No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?SELL0.0336726238$806.08
03-03 21:50Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?BUY0.0576411$1.9k
03-03 21:48Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?SELL0.63$1.0k