OceanBlue1
0x6189557bab042d99142f17bc38c5be81e443d39b
- Realised P&L
- $-6.81
- Volume
- $595.60
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $5.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.140 | $2.80 | −$1.60 |
| Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 40% or higher? · No | 0.110 | 0.064 | $1.28 | −$0.92 |
| Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.035 | $0.70 | −$2.30 |
| Will Tyson Bagent finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.016 | $0.32 | −$1.08 |
| Will Jarrett Stidham finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.007 | $0.15 | −$1.25 |
| No change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by October 15? · No | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.07at 0.440Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on October 12, 2026?
- +$-0.23at 0.6292026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
- +$-0.47at 0.730Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?
- +$-0.63at 0.060Will Rachaad White finish as a top-12 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
- +$-0.80at 0.450Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 09:12 | Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on October 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.945543 | $18.91 |
| 09-30 13:01 | Will Rachaad White finish as a top-12 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.60 |
| 09-29 21:45 | Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.05 |
| 09-29 21:34 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $5.25 |
| 09-29 21:17 | Will there be 4 or more Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 28? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 09-29 20:13 | Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.7 | $6.30 |
| 09-29 08:42 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.61 | $4.92 |
| 09-29 08:42 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |