PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

orriannafizz

0x61818fd2f411d80d8c0274deba77691ac41cad60

Realised P&L
$-597.51
Volume
$799.1k
Markets traded
637
Open portfolio
$582.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded637
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8890.861$195.70$6.48
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.955$191.00+$11.00
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.4800.900$180.00+$84.00
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8100.924$4.62+$0.57
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? · Yes0.0560.021$3.58$5.75
Discord IPO before 2027? · No0.0430.894$3.18+$3.02
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · No0.5600.155$3.02$7.88
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.7200.997$1.48+$0.41
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.001$0.00$0.03
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101? · No0.0430.000$0.00$2.00
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00$0.08
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$0.01
Will the US not strike another country before 2027? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$0.20
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$0.10
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-25 01:27Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?BUY0.05$1.00
01-25 01:23Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?BUY0.0379999641$1.00
01-25 01:23Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?BUY0.0479999551$1.00
01-25 01:06Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?BUY0.04$1.00
01-10 08:07Cilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?SELL0.999$5.00
01-10 08:07Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?SELL0.999$5.00
01-10 08:07Another US strike on Venezuela on January 9?SELL0.999$5.00
01-10 08:07Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?SELL0.999$5.00
01-10 08:07Will Elon and DOGE cut 100-150k employees in 2025?SELL0.999$5.00
01-10 08:07Another US strike on Venezuela on January 8?SELL0.999$5.00
01-10 08:07Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?SELL0.999$5.00
01-10 08:02Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?SELL0.999$199.80
01-08 03:56Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5AM ETBUY0.51$2.55
01-08 03:56Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5AM ETBUY0.51$2.55
01-08 03:56Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5AM ETBUY0.51$2.55