PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Long-Island-Capital

0x617a80402d374a6b1ed17279ac32be36eba7b4f1

Realised P&L
$-2.2k
Volume
$574.5k
Markets traded
1,363
Open portfolio
$5.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,363
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration47.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.6580.745$2.80+$0.33
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? · No0.3320.255$0.96−$0.29
Will Berry Vrbanovic win the 2026 Kitchener mayoral election? · Yes0.0000.925$0.93+$0.93
Will Arthur Jarvis win the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election? · Yes0.0000.150$0.60+$0.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 02:32GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?SELL0.23$23.00
09-08 23:12GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?SELL0.5$36.37
09-08 22:41GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?SELL0.51$5.10
09-08 22:11GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?SELL0.55$9.50
09-04 22:18Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?SELL0.63$7.23
09-02 12:30Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?SELL0.64$10.73
09-02 00:21Will Sílvia Cristina win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?SELL0.57$19.73
09-01 23:51Will Sílvia Cristina win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?SELL0.48$40.99
08-31 18:20Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Roraima?SELL0.013$0.19
08-31 13:37Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?SELL0.32$6.40
08-31 11:13Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?SELL0.62$4.96
08-31 02:51Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?SELL0.55$11.00
08-30 15:40Will Sílvia Cristina win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?SELL0.32$4.48
08-30 06:28Will Sílvia Cristina win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?SELL0.36$5.04
08-30 00:42Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?SELL0.21$4.20