0x6152c6ba1cc8539d144464bc013d540ac1e442f7
0x6152c6ba1cc8539d144464bc013d540ac1e442f7
- Realised P&L
- $16.24
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $8.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.168 | 0.178 | $5.31 | +$0.31 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 8? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.019 | $3.06 | −$1.94 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 8? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.018 | $0.35 | −$0.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.41at 0.422Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
- +$6.50at 0.454Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
- +$4.83at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
- +$4.43at 0.548Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
- +$2.37at 0.692Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 19:46 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 8? | BUY | 0.048 | $0.96 |
| 10-08 19:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.0309999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 19:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 16:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 19:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 13:35 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1679999987 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 13:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 12:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 07:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 17:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 16:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | BUY | 0.8899999252 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 16:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 16:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 16:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |