PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ThelastoneNB

0x61497380e18b34c36491fba52b1e28277a938a58

Realised P&L
$4.7k
Volume
$294.4k
Markets traded
1,598
Open portfolio
$960.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,598
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.3140.928$464.00+$307.00
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? · No0.7001.000$100.00+$30.00
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? · No0.4701.000$100.00+$53.00
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6750.912$91.25+$23.75
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.7840.793$90.74+$1.05
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.8690.442$22.07$21.38
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.4000.305$15.25$4.75
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0340.036$12.70+$0.72
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.5900.100$10.00$48.99
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0360.064$9.53+$4.13
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.3100.295$8.55$0.43
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.3400.085$8.50$25.50
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.3200.065$6.50$25.50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.3000.105$6.30$11.70
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.1300.055$5.50$7.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-21 02:25Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?SELL0.39$46.80
05-21 00:40Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?SELL0.39$19.52
05-21 00:39Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.45$54.77
05-21 00:09Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.45$58.50
05-20 16:12Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?SELL0.998$55.38
05-14 02:07Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?SELL0.999$148.25
05-07 22:55New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.13$13.00
04-30 00:51Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?SELL0.531$53.10
04-29 23:36Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?SELL0.7623131884$307.27
04-25 02:03Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?SELL0.998$535.24
04-24 22:36Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?SELL0.961$101.21
04-24 16:06Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?SELL0.52$20.80
04-13 03:28Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?BUY0.672$10.91
04-13 02:41Will Leverkusen finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?SELL0.7$65.96
04-12 22:00Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.029$5.80