user55555
0x613fd08769cc23b36a01d514ae727169f82ffbe1
- Realised P&L
- $-4.56
- Volume
- $788.31
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $11.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No one announced as next James Bond? · Yes | 0.227 | 0.265 | $2.33 | +$0.33 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No | 0.360 | 0.825 | $2.29 | +$1.29 |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · No | 0.410 | 0.360 | $1.76 | −$0.24 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.135 | $1.75 | −$1.75 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.080 | 0.085 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%? · Yes | 0.363 | 0.362 | $1.00 | −$0.00 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.045 | $0.64 | −$0.36 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.025 | $0.61 | −$4.39 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · No | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.00at 0.091Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?
- +$9.59at 0.610Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?
- +$8.52at 0.540Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$7.00at 0.300Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?
- +$6.00at 0.250Will Kimmel say "Apologize" or "Sorry" 5+ times during return show on September 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 20:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 20:19 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 20:19 | Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%? | BUY | 0.3629999917 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 20:13 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 20:00 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 19:56 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.2269999919 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 19:51 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.2699999992 | $3.50 |
| 07-19 19:22 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 19:21 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 19:21 | Spain to score first vs. Argentina? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 19:21 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3924998695 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 19:21 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2324998361 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 20:27 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $405 in July? | BUY | 0.3699999112 | $2.00 |
| 07-07 20:19 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 20:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |