PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ParisDubai

0x6136542d192313812347c693ee7d5be31ebe64f8

Realised P&L
$-14.0k
Volume
$325.3k
Markets traded
4,382
Open portfolio
$28.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,382
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027? · No0.8200.968$3.54+$0.54
Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.3800.265$3.49−$1.51
Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027? · No0.4500.735$3.27+$1.27
Will Jacinda Ardern be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0340.035$2.92+$0.10
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.1420.041$2.60−$6.40
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? · No0.3250.785$2.41+$1.41
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? · No0.8750.917$2.10+$0.10
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7490.725$1.94−$0.06
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.2670.090$1.68−$3.32
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.0980.028$1.41−$3.59
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.7200.725$1.01+$0.01
Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.2920.044$0.76−$4.24
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.0700.017$0.71−$2.29
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.1400.042$0.30−$0.70
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5550.065$0.23−$1.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 18:42Eagles vs. BearsBUY0.649999805$1.00
09-26 17:47Eagles vs. BearsBUY0.64$1.00
09-26 17:36Eagles vs. BearsBUY0.649999805$1.00
09-26 17:35Eagles vs. BearsBUY0.64$1.00
09-22 22:30Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana FeverBUY0.5399999568$1.00
09-22 20:27Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana FeverBUY0.5$1.00
09-08 13:27Hungary vs. JapanBUY0.469999906$1.00
09-05 14:33Germany vs. JapanBUY0.66$1.00
08-22 14:19Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?BUY0.2$3.00
08-22 13:03Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?BUY0.25$1.25
08-22 08:13LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.4895024744$866.99
08-22 07:12LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.4199999992$250.00
08-22 07:11LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.4652024596$500.00
08-22 00:51Panthers vs. JaguarsBUY0.85$10.00
08-22 00:50Panthers vs. JaguarsBUY0.85$10.00