PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

fd54g15fdg41

0x6118cce769b01f19db6ac4ec56d0f30aed55d31d

Realised P&L
$-2.5k
Volume
$42.4k
Markets traded
210
Open portfolio
$494.69

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded210
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration65.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · No0.7600.625$62.50−$13.50
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · No0.5400.630$31.50+$4.50
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes0.5400.545$27.25+$0.25
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? · No0.7901.000$20.00+$4.20
SSI public model released by September 30, 2026? · No0.7901.000$20.00+$4.20
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No0.3500.986$19.72+$12.72
Will American Doctor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8100.974$19.47+$3.27
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? · No0.4300.940$18.80+$10.20
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? · No0.8800.905$18.10+$0.50
Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · No0.8500.885$17.70+$0.70
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · No0.8000.835$16.70+$0.70
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? · No0.8500.830$16.60−$0.40
Will Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · No0.8200.815$16.30−$0.10
Will Man I Need (Olivia Dean) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · No0.7300.815$16.30+$1.70
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? · No0.7000.760$15.20+$1.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 07:31Will Bodo/Glimt qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?SELL0.006$0.12
08-20 07:31Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?SELL0.055$1.10
08-20 07:31Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?SELL0.2725$5.45
08-20 07:31Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará?SELL0.89$17.80
08-19 03:39Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?SELL0.013$0.26
08-19 03:39Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.37$7.40
08-19 03:39Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?SELL0.63$12.60
08-18 03:49Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?SELL0.36$7.20
08-18 03:49Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?SELL0.554$11.08
08-18 03:49Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?SELL0.77$15.40
08-17 06:52Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?SELL0.14$2.80
08-17 06:52Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 17?SELL0.13$2.60
08-17 06:52Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 17?SELL0.46$9.20
08-17 06:51Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 17?SELL0.429935$8.60
08-17 06:51Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?SELL0.29$5.80