PolyBot

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Traders

Kaiver

0x60ecb272bcd1258c5bff8b15cee9f45f6ec0f09c

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$139.2k
Markets traded
198
Open portfolio
$98.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded198
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0740.049$67.57$35.43
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.029$14.25$30.75
Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.096$12.48$8.32
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.2300.004$3.92$221.08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET · Down0.6180.000$0.00$173.82
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$300.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Down0.6700.000$0.00$20.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Down0.7800.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET · Up0.5940.000$0.00$300.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET · Up0.3600.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET · Down0.4000.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET · Up0.2640.000$0.00$55.00
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$25.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-18 12:54Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.401$51.38
07-18 12:52Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0473234889$47.00
07-15 21:10Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.419$70.64
07-15 21:09Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.419$2.0k
07-08 14:21Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 England?BUY0.0310000001$20.99
07-08 14:20Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?BUY0.0239999991$25.00
07-08 14:20Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 England?BUY0.0229999991$25.00
07-08 14:19Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?BUY0.0699999994$100.00
07-06 16:18Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.36$356.76
07-06 16:18Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.24$300.00
06-28 13:43Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2029999998$841.98
06-28 08:46Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2119999992$157.04
06-28 08:45Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.055$98.21
06-28 08:45Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.047776516$67.61
06-27 17:29Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1899999983$72.06