Kaiver
0x60ecb272bcd1258c5bff8b15cee9f45f6ec0f09c
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $139.2k
- Markets traded
- 198
- Open portfolio
- $98.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded198
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.048US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$614.08at 0.340US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$180.58at 0.407Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
- +$116.64at 0.599Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
- +$112.09at 0.139Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 12:54 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.401 | $51.38 |
| 07-18 12:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0473234889 | $47.00 |
| 07-15 21:10 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.419 | $70.64 |
| 07-15 21:09 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.419 | $2.0k |
| 07-08 14:21 | Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 England? | BUY | 0.0310000001 | $20.99 |
| 07-08 14:20 | Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England? | BUY | 0.0239999991 | $25.00 |
| 07-08 14:20 | Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 England? | BUY | 0.0229999991 | $25.00 |
| 07-08 14:19 | Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $100.00 |
| 07-06 16:18 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.36 | $356.76 |
| 07-06 16:18 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.24 | $300.00 |
| 06-28 13:43 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2029999998 | $841.98 |
| 06-28 08:46 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2119999992 | $157.04 |
| 06-28 08:45 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.055 | $98.21 |
| 06-28 08:45 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.047776516 | $67.61 |
| 06-27 17:29 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1899999983 | $72.06 |