PolyBot

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Traders

coastalgusts

0x60dcc9768bfe9f9c286742edc32d48f63b519057

Realised P&L
$-2.1k
Volume
$469.5k
Markets traded
292
Open portfolio
$8.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded292
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.5710.860$3.0k+$1.0k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · No0.6500.925$1.0k+$305.25
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.5110.710$994.00+$279.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.7100.993$478.08+$136.08
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · No0.8610.979$438.44+$52.44
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? · No0.5480.745$309.65+$81.65
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · No0.8800.925$277.50+$13.50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.8460.175$258.26$990.48
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.5570.405$243.00$91.00
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · No0.6660.955$238.74+$72.25
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? · No0.8500.981$196.19+$26.20
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · No0.7100.645$193.50$19.50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8500.895$179.00+$9.00
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? · No0.6800.815$162.98+$27.00
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? · No0.8400.995$149.18+$23.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-18 23:03Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.002$0.37
08-18 23:03Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.002$1.80
08-18 23:03Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.006$6.00
08-18 23:02Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.006$18.00
08-18 23:02Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.005$0.05
08-18 22:41Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.008$24.00
08-18 22:40Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.008$16.00
08-18 22:39Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.007$21.00
08-18 22:38Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.007$10.50
08-17 01:30Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.01$5.00
08-17 01:30Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.0117083737$8.00
08-17 01:29Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.0109999991$12.00
08-17 01:29Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?BUY0.5646659305$150.00
08-04 15:47Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.36$72.00
07-29 03:44US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.8$160.00