flovinskas3
0x60c45aa96640eef3106fad68f876b0ec8b2bcafb
- Realised P&L
- $-17.0k
- Volume
- $162.0k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $536.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.266 | 0.095 | $536.63 | −$963.37 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes | 0.403 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.114 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31? · No | 0.292 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.0k |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.251 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$235.26 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$902.90 |
| Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.218 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026? · No | 0.416 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$537.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$143.49at 0.290Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$-1.9kat 0.384Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 10:45 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.22699993 | $2.00 |
| 06-30 06:19 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1019999143 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 07:21 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0449999575 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 11:46 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0569999484 | $1.00 |
| 06-20 06:42 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0629999444 | $1.00 |
| 06-16 07:33 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.064 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 05:51 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0519999513 | $1.00 |
| 06-09 11:29 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0539999504 | $1.00 |
| 06-05 06:42 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0539999504 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 05:28 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0559999498 | $1.00 |
| 05-31 09:29 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0519999513 | $1.00 |
| 05-28 11:44 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0519999993 | $73.31 |
| 05-28 11:44 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1039999985 | $70.00 |
| 05-28 11:44 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.112 | $70.00 |
| 05-28 11:43 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1039999997 | $300.00 |