PolyBot

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Traders

Leros

0x60b3a8e1be52523012c2ce09283dec161e2944ac

Realised P&L
$72.86
Volume
$887.37
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$253.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No0.3550.977$109.98+$69.98
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5160.529$46.14+$1.14
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? · No0.2600.765$29.42+$19.42
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7700.695$18.05−$1.95
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · No0.7801.000$12.81+$2.81
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? · Yes0.4600.495$10.76+$0.76
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.3700.365$9.86−$0.14
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.7400.705$9.53−$0.47
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September? · Yes0.7400.485$6.55−$3.45
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 18? · Yes0.4590.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Solana dip to $90 in August? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$5.00
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No0.2700.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET · Down0.4700.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 15:40Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?BUY0.7399999734$10.00
09-23 15:40Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?BUY0.459999988$10.00
09-19 16:18Israel military action against Lebanon on September 18?BUY0.4590022833$5.00
09-19 16:14Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETBUY0.469999906$2.00
09-19 16:13Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.3699999867$10.00
09-12 09:08Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3399999966$30.00
09-12 09:05Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5177413791$20.00
09-09 11:32Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?BUY0.2599999964$10.00
09-09 11:32Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.4099999984$10.00
09-09 11:31NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7699999992$20.00
09-07 13:24Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5129999852$10.00
09-01 14:41Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.516999995$15.00
08-28 15:50Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?BUY0.2964071592$5.00
08-27 13:30Will Solana dip to $90 in August?BUY0.1199999808$5.00
08-27 10:49Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETBUY0.5799999014$2.00