PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

polrnk

0x6095e4c6ff00f0ca70c9a8d3a1575955f1a784f0

Realised P&L
$0.04
Volume
$229.65
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$104.01

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 14? · Yes0.7400.865$11.69+$1.69
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2570.295$11.46+$1.46
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 14? · Yes0.8600.982$11.41+$1.41
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 14? · Yes0.6100.994$9.94+$3.84
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.3200.305$9.53−$0.47
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.6000.550$9.17−$0.83
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 15? · No0.5000.455$9.10−$0.90
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 14? · Yes0.3000.270$9.00−$1.00
Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on October 14? · No0.9500.971$7.89+$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14? · No0.8380.507$6.06−$3.94
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14? · Yes0.3710.492$4.92+$1.22
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 14? · Yes0.4100.110$2.68−$7.32
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on October 14? · No0.8991.000$1.13+$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 14? · Yes0.4000.001$0.01−$9.99
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 14? · Yes0.5040.001$0.01−$9.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 19:09Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14?BUY0.371$3.71
10-14 18:19Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 14?BUY0.7399999896$10.00
10-14 18:17Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14?BUY0.8379999886$10.00
10-14 18:04Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 14?BUY0.8599999983$10.00
10-14 17:17Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.599999988$10.00
10-14 16:53Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 14?BUY0.299999994$10.00
10-14 16:43Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 15?BUY0.5$10.00
10-14 13:17Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on October 14?BUY0.8989999947$1.02
10-14 13:06Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on October 14?BUY0.95$7.72
10-14 13:03Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 14?BUY0.61$6.10
10-14 12:54Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 14?BUY0.503999996$10.00
10-14 12:30Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.32$10.00
10-14 12:30Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.2574257416$10.00
10-14 12:10Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 14?BUY0.3995945554$10.00
10-14 11:58Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 14?BUY0.4099999984$10.00