PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

541410

0x608f1dc8f23c5840e78d5e87cbe8cd7161869065

Realised P&L
$-482.36
Volume
$149.9k
Markets traded
1,271
Open portfolio
$310.31

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,271
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration55.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? · Yes0.6500.670$33.50+$1.00
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes0.5400.635$31.75+$4.75
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · No0.5400.635$31.75+$4.75
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31? · Yes0.7400.535$26.75$10.25
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? · Yes0.4900.380$19.00$5.50
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? · No0.8500.845$16.90$0.10
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? · Yes0.8500.805$16.10$0.90
Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election? · No0.4900.735$14.70+$4.90
Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · No0.5900.715$14.30+$2.50
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.5300.665$13.30+$2.70
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6650.633$12.67$0.63
Will Man I Need (Olivia Dean) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · No0.7300.625$12.50$2.10
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.4800.415$8.30$1.30
Will Man I Need (Olivia Dean) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes0.2400.375$7.50+$2.70
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3310.366$7.33+$0.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 07:09Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?SELL0.32$6.40
08-20 07:08Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?SELL0.34$6.80
08-19 03:14Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.39$7.80
08-19 03:14Will AfD win 32-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.73$14.60
08-18 23:57Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?SELL0.89$17.80
08-18 03:54Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 18?SELL0.3575$7.15
08-18 03:54Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 19?SELL0.75$15.00
08-17 19:22Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 19?SELL0.29$5.80
08-17 06:05Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?SELL0.15$3.00
08-17 06:05Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 17?SELL0.26$5.20
08-17 06:05Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?SELL0.44$5.72
08-17 06:05Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?SELL0.39$7.80
08-17 06:05Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?SELL0.47$9.40
08-16 14:48Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 300m and 350m by August 31?SELL0.003$0.05
08-16 14:47Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026?SELL0.03174$0.63