541410
0x608f1dc8f23c5840e78d5e87cbe8cd7161869065
- Realised P&L
- $-482.36
- Volume
- $149.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,271
- Open portfolio
- $310.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,271
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.250Heat vs. Rockets
- +$47.00at 0.530WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 10?
- +$43.00at 0.570Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?
- +$29.00at 0.710Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?
- +$24.00at 0.760Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 07:09 | Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 08-20 07:08 | Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 08-19 03:14 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 08-19 03:14 | Will AfD win 32-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 08-18 23:57 | Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027? | SELL | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 08-18 03:54 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 18? | SELL | 0.3575 | $7.15 |
| 08-18 03:54 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 19? | SELL | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 08-17 19:22 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 19? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 08-17 06:05 | Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 08-17 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 17? | SELL | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 08-17 06:05 | Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%? | SELL | 0.44 | $5.72 |
| 08-17 06:05 | Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award? | SELL | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 08-17 06:05 | Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award? | SELL | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 08-16 14:48 | Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 300m and 350m by August 31? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.05 |
| 08-16 14:47 | Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.03174 | $0.63 |