PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

WatermelonFelon

0x6085a81ad58205cb0983d0d4d1738f7a06335e3e

Realised P&L
$131.42
Volume
$19.4k
Markets traded
101
Open portfolio
$33.78

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded101
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration73.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be at least 10 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? · Yes0.0030.089$25.74+$24.74
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0190.021$1.13+$0.13
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1400.146$1.05+$0.05
Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027? · Yes0.1880.190$1.01+$0.01
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0510.051$1.01+$0.01
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0120.011$0.96$0.04
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0020.002$0.75$0.25
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$0.75$0.25
Will Adam Kurtz win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.0020.001$0.50$0.50
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? · Yes0.1500.075$0.50$0.50
Will Kevin Lee McCants win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.0010.001$0.40$0.60
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0040.002$0.38$0.63
Will Tim Cyr win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.0030.001$0.18$0.82
Will there be 80 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? · Yes0.0030.001$0.17$0.83
Will xAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:35Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.002$1.00
08-02 23:34Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.011999988$1.00
08-02 23:33Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0509999494$1.00
08-02 23:33Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
07-26 22:48Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
07-26 22:47Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on July 27?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
07-26 22:45Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?BUY0.0189999817$1.00
07-25 22:34Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
07-25 22:33Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
07-24 23:22Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00
07-21 11:34Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.002$1.00
07-21 11:34Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.002$1.00
07-21 11:34Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
07-21 11:34Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
07-21 11:33Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00