WatermelonFelon
0x6085a81ad58205cb0983d0d4d1738f7a06335e3e
- Realised P&L
- $135.33
- Volume
- $20.8k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $38.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$354.10at 0.003Will Tim Cyr win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$131.96at 0.008Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
- +$127.49at 0.008Will xAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$62.51at 0.016Will xAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$53.17at 0.019Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 08:04 | Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 08:04 | Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 08:03 | Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.011996521 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 08:03 | Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.005999994 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 21:13 | Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.018446602 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 21:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0421421746 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 07:37 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 07:36 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.2789998293 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 23:35 | Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 23:34 | Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.011999988 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 23:33 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0509999494 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 23:33 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 22:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 22:47 | Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on July 27? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 22:45 | Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | BUY | 0.0189999817 | $1.00 |