PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

WatermelonFelon

0x6085a81ad58205cb0983d0d4d1738f7a06335e3e

Realised P&L
$135.33
Volume
$20.8k
Markets traded
109
Open portfolio
$38.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded109
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.0420.399$18.94+$16.94
Will there be at least 10 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? · Yes0.0030.032$9.20+$8.20
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0010.004$3.50+$2.50
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1400.165$1.17+$0.17
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0510.054$1.07+$0.07
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0120.013$1.04+$0.04
Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027? · Yes0.1880.172$0.91$0.09
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0190.016$0.84$0.16
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.1000.045$0.45$0.55
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0060.003$0.42$0.58
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0120.004$0.29$0.71
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0020.001$0.25$0.75
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0020.001$0.25$0.75
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? · Yes0.1500.022$0.15$0.85
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0040.001$0.13$0.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 08:04Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.1$1.00
08-23 08:04Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.001$1.00
08-23 08:03Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.011996521$1.00
08-23 08:03Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.005999994$1.00
08-05 21:13Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.018446602$1.00
08-05 21:11US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0421421746$2.00
08-04 07:37Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
08-04 07:36Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?BUY0.2789998293$1.00
08-02 23:35Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.002$1.00
08-02 23:34Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.011999988$1.00
08-02 23:33Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0509999494$1.00
08-02 23:33Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
07-26 22:48Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
07-26 22:47Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on July 27?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
07-26 22:45Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?BUY0.0189999817$1.00