WatermelonFelon
0x6085a81ad58205cb0983d0d4d1738f7a06335e3e
- Realised P&L
- $131.42
- Volume
- $19.4k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $33.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$132.00at 0.008Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
- +$15.67at 0.060Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$13.23at 0.130Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
- +$5.42at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
- +$4.90at 0.290Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:35 | Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 23:34 | Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.011999988 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 23:33 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0509999494 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 23:33 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 22:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 22:47 | Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on July 27? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 22:45 | Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | BUY | 0.0189999817 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 22:34 | Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 22:33 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 23:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 11:34 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 11:34 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 11:34 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 11:34 | Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 11:33 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |