SleeperHunter
0x606ffc68a29ebf92f9dc1d041fec5d0127571083
- Realised P&L
- $24.5k
- Volume
- $3.11M
- Markets traded
- 354
- Open portfolio
- $90.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded354
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.8kat 0.849US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$3.2kat 0.478US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$2.9kat 0.850Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
- +$2.6kat 0.940US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
- +$2.5kat 0.871Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 09:24 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.964 | $4.7k |
| 11-01 09:23 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.4k |
| 11-01 09:17 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.993 | $54.61 |
| 11-01 09:16 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.9934908147 | $20.4k |
| 11-01 09:15 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $400.77 |
| 10-31 10:49 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9747252425 | $5.8k |
| 10-31 10:44 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.975 | $501.55 |
| 10-31 10:43 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $11.3k |
| 10-31 10:43 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $394.02 |
| 10-31 10:39 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $18.0k |
| 10-27 07:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | SELL | 0.996 | $3.9k |
| 10-26 17:08 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $11.8k |
| 10-26 12:37 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.988 | $996.23 |
| 10-23 20:42 | Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | BUY | 0.83 | $84.72 |
| 10-23 19:59 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.92 | $3.97 |