0x6060c8280a34508abd26e674b65a1c28de50f91e
0x6060c8280a34508abd26e674b65a1c28de50f91e
- Realised P&L
- $-57.67
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 560
- Open portfolio
- $19.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded560
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11? · No | 0.580 | 0.740 | $3.52 | +$0.76 |
| Will Solana reach $130 in October? · No | 0.440 | 0.745 | $3.49 | +$1.43 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.663 | 0.709 | $3.40 | +$0.22 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.934 | 0.978 | $3.11 | +$0.14 |
| Will XRP reach $1.60 in October? · No | 0.620 | 0.690 | $2.64 | +$0.27 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October? · No | 0.730 | 0.915 | $2.26 | +$0.46 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October? · No | 0.929 | 0.974 | $1.28 | +$0.06 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.637 | 0.049 | $0.16 | −$1.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.87at 0.040Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 17-23?
- +$28.28at 0.075Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in August?
- +$19.62at 0.461Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12?
- +$16.63at 0.244Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 22?
- +$14.12at 0.409Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 17:26 | Will XRP reach $1.60 in October? | BUY | 0.6299999793 | $1.22 |
| 10-07 16:32 | Will XRP reach $1.60 in October? | BUY | 0.6099999682 | $1.15 |
| 10-07 16:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.5799999622 | $2.76 |
| 10-05 16:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.5799998403 | $1.38 |
| 10-05 04:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 10-05 04:21 | Will Solana reach $130 in October? | BUY | 0.4399999231 | $2.06 |
| 10-05 04:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.5599998341 | $1.08 |
| 10-05 04:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.8299999834 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 04:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.2598392222 | $16.00 |
| 10-02 18:47 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9669999934 | $1.03 |
| 10-02 16:24 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October? | BUY | 0.7299999067 | $1.80 |
| 10-02 16:24 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October? | BUY | 0.9289999764 | $1.22 |
| 10-02 16:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9417143936 | $3.66 |
| 10-02 16:21 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9529999778 | $8.07 |
| 10-02 16:18 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9789999987 | $12.80 |