0x605e38f93430D0E681A4eF82F7e173C7E8Ce14fd-1769352624239
0x605e38f93430d0e681a4ef82f7e173c7e8ce14fd
- Realised P&L
- $-37.74
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $48.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.83at 0.240Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
- +$14.65at 0.170Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?
- +$9.50at 0.240Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$6.53at 0.754Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?
- +$4.32at 0.410Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during Iowa speech?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 15:06 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.0066790706 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 15:06 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get at least 140 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 15:05 | Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon? | BUY | 0.0235294118 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 15:05 | Will Gianni Infantino be the next President of FIFA? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 15:05 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0496590081 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 15:04 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.1218749981 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 15:03 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.0385542169 | $4.00 |
| 10-20 15:03 | Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.5899999725 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 15:02 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 15:02 | Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.8499999717 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 15:02 | Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 15:01 | Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by April 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 15:00 | OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by November 15? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 15:00 | OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 14:59 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.329999967 | $3.00 |