PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x605e38f93430D0E681A4eF82F7e173C7E8Ce14fd-1769352624239

0x605e38f93430d0e681a4ef82f7e173c7e8ce14fd

Realised P&L
$-37.74
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$48.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina? · Yes0.5501.000$9.09+$4.09
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31? · No0.5300.455$8.58−$1.42
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.6200.430$6.94−$3.06
Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by April 30, 2027? · No0.6500.720$5.54+$0.54
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina? · No0.5901.000$5.08+$2.08
Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina? · Yes0.8501.000$3.53+$0.53
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.3300.250$2.27−$0.73
Will Gianni Infantino be the next President of FIFA? · No0.2700.235$1.74−$0.26
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.055$1.57−$0.43
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by November 15? · No0.2100.135$1.29−$0.71
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get at least 140 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0010.001$1.00+$0.00
Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon? · Yes0.0240.006$0.51−$1.49
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · Yes0.1100.028$0.50−$1.50
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0070.003$0.37−$0.63
Prince Andrew released by February 20? · No0.0110.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 15:06Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?BUY0.0066790706$1.00
10-20 15:06Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get at least 140 million views on week 1?BUY0.001$1.00
10-20 15:05Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?BUY0.0235294118$2.00
10-20 15:05Will Gianni Infantino be the next President of FIFA?BUY0.2699999784$2.00
10-20 15:05Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0496590081$3.00
10-20 15:04Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?BUY0.1218749981$3.00
10-20 15:03Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?BUY0.0385542169$4.00
10-20 15:03Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?BUY0.5899999725$3.00
10-20 15:02Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?BUY0.299999985$2.00
10-20 15:02Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?BUY0.8499999717$3.00
10-20 15:02Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?BUY0.549999956$5.00
10-20 15:01Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by April 30, 2027?BUY0.649999974$5.00
10-20 15:00OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by November 15?BUY0.2099999895$2.00
10-20 15:00OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?BUY0.5299999868$10.00
10-20 14:59US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?BUY0.329999967$3.00