PolyBot

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Traders

0x604eb72b654f9cc72262ed568ccfcdd50ed19509

0x604eb72b654f9cc72262ed568ccfcdd50ed19509

Realised P&L
$6.16
Volume
$70.08
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$31.07

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration77.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 21:02Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.8$2.20
09-21 21:02Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.7699999615$2.20
09-21 13:02Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?BUY0.22$2.20
09-21 05:02Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $990 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.5599999185$2.20
09-20 21:01Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?BUY0.7899997522$2.20
09-20 12:00Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?BUY0.5599999185$2.20
09-20 03:34Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?BUY0.7399999933$2.20
09-19 19:01Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.8$2.20
09-19 09:37Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.6499999705$2.20
09-19 01:29Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.7799999504$2.20
09-18 17:26Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.2699999718$2.20
09-18 08:13Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.2799999949$2.20
09-17 22:01Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.6099998946$2.20
09-17 13:16Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.25$2.20
09-17 04:38Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.6299999084$2.20