0x604eb72b654f9cc72262ed568ccfcdd50ed19509
0x604eb72b654f9cc72262ed568ccfcdd50ed19509
- Realised P&L
- $6.16
- Volume
- $70.08
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $31.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.52at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$1.36at 0.622Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
- +$0.56at 0.798Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
- +$-2.28at 0.290Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 21:02 | Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.20 |
| 09-21 21:02 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999615 | $2.20 |
| 09-21 13:02 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 09-21 05:02 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $990 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999185 | $2.20 |
| 09-20 21:01 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899997522 | $2.20 |
| 09-20 12:00 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999185 | $2.20 |
| 09-20 03:34 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999933 | $2.20 |
| 09-19 19:01 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.20 |
| 09-19 09:37 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6499999705 | $2.20 |
| 09-19 01:29 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999504 | $2.20 |
| 09-18 17:26 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999718 | $2.20 |
| 09-18 08:13 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999949 | $2.20 |
| 09-17 22:01 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998946 | $2.20 |
| 09-17 13:16 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.20 |
| 09-17 04:38 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6299999084 | $2.20 |