JILLY
0x6020c638bda4246981d963d525ba2ce61186e249
- Realised P&L
- $-114.98
- Volume
- $18.6k
- Markets traded
- 179
- Open portfolio
- $894.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded179
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$167.66at 0.698Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$84.00at 0.580Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
- +$66.00at 0.400S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?
- +$55.22at 0.610Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$45.00at 0.550Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 18:37 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.468149 | $46.81 |
| 07-06 18:37 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.776 | $38.80 |
| 06-21 03:01 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.86 | $171.99 |
| 06-19 00:57 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $45.00 |
| 06-19 00:49 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.85 | $170.00 |
| 06-19 00:49 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.89 | $178.00 |
| 05-20 16:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May? | BUY | 0.6 | $30.00 |
| 04-16 09:00 | Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $51.17 |
| 03-31 16:02 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 03-30 15:39 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 03-30 04:58 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | BUY | 0.92 | $82.31 |
| 02-15 17:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $21.15 |
| 02-14 18:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 15? | BUY | 0.9445277361 | $20.00 |
| 02-14 18:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 02-14 17:51 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | SELL | 0.686 | $137.20 |