PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

JILLY

0x6020c638bda4246981d963d525ba2ce61186e249

Realised P&L
$-114.98
Volume
$18.6k
Markets traded
179
Open portfolio
$894.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded179
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · No0.4901.000$200.00+$102.00
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · No0.8451.000$200.00+$31.00
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? · No0.8521.000$200.00+$29.60
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.2100.935$93.50+$72.50
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026? · Yes0.5701.000$50.00+$21.50
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · No0.8800.910$36.39+$1.20
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.7200.700$35.00−$1.00
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.4700.435$21.75−$1.75
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.8200.925$18.50+$2.10
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? · Yes0.8640.506$15.05−$10.64
Maduro guilty of all counts? · Yes0.2500.335$13.40+$3.40
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.4000.345$6.90−$1.10
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? · Yes0.1500.048$2.40−$5.10
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.026$1.06−$2.94
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1300.004$0.18−$5.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-06 18:37Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.468149$46.81
07-06 18:37Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.776$38.80
06-21 03:01Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.86$171.99
06-19 00:57Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.45$45.00
06-19 00:49Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.85$170.00
06-19 00:49Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.89$178.00
05-20 16:46Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?BUY0.6$30.00
04-16 09:00Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? BUY0.86$51.17
03-31 16:02S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 31?SELL0.999$49.95
03-30 15:39S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30?SELL0.999$49.95
03-30 04:58Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?BUY0.92$82.31
02-15 17:35Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 15?SELL0.999$21.15
02-14 18:43Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 15?BUY0.9445277361$20.00
02-14 18:30Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
02-14 17:51Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?SELL0.686$137.20